Inflation

Turkey's central bank kept its interest rate at 37% for the fifth consecutive time amid persistent energy shocks and annual inflation of 31.51% in August.

US inflation remained at 3.4% in August, meeting forecasts as markets brace for a potential Federal Reserve rate hike amid strong job growth and rising energy prices.

An analysis of the key macroeconomic factors shaping the Israeli and global economy highlights political elections, volatile oil prices, and shifting interest rates.

Global markets react to Middle East tensions, rising energy prices, and shifting US interest rate expectations, creating potential ripple effects for Israeli households.

Asian markets fell following Wall Street as investors await key US inflation data. Analysts predict a 3.4% annual rate, impacting the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

UBS warns US midterm elections will not alter global economic trends like trade competition and defense spending, as analysts adjust congressional control probabilities.

American Eagle shares plunged 11% after issuing a flat margin forecast and offering heavy discounts to clear excess inventory as consumer preferences shifted.

A Wall Street legend suggests US stocks drop during the Ten Days of Repentance. However, upcoming Fed interest rate decisions and inflation data will likely dictate market direction.

Global oil prices surged as Middle East tensions threaten strategic trade routes like the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude reached $105 a barrel amid fears of inflation and global economic instability.

The Tel Aviv Stock Exchange wrapped up a record-breaking year with sharp drops on Thursday, as the TA-35 surged 37% and outperformed major Western markets.

A new Latet study reveals the basic Israeli food basket rose 4.8% in 2026 to 3,928 NIS monthly. Supported families face a 1,166 NIS monthly gap, forcing daily compromises on nutrition amid soaring living costs.

Calcalist's Money Engines podcast outlines five macroeconomic forces shaping global and Israeli markets, from US bond yields and oil to local budget deficits.

Local FX markets show calm ahead of Rosh Hashanah as the dollar trades near 3.02 ₪. Global markets await the ECB rate decision and US inflation data.

The US Treasury announced a $6 billion bond buyback to support market liquidity and curb soaring yields, which hit 4.85% as investors sold off debt amid inflation and debt concerns.

Discount Bank reviews global and Israeli economic trends, noting the Bank of Israel rate cut to 3.25%, ongoing US inflation debates, and robust high-tech export growth in June 2026.

European natural gas prices have surged past €70 per megawatt-hour amid supply chain disruptions and surging summer demand. Reserves stand at just 65% capacity, raising global inflationary concerns.

Deutsche Bank analysts report that global bond yields have hit multi-year highs amid fiscal concerns and inflation. Investors await key U.S. inflation data and the upcoming ECB interest rate decision.

A weekly economic review by Mizrahi Tefahot Bank highlights a 5.3% surge in Israeli high-tech exports alongside a slowdown in average wage growth to 3.5%, easing inflation concerns for central banks.

The combination of high energy prices and market uncertainty could soon reach the local consumer's pocket, affecting the prices of imported goods and changing the overall situation.

The dollar is strengthening in the local market, rising by 0.3% to trade at 3.03 shekels, contrary to the global trend of the American currency. Investors are awaiting the upcoming US employment report.

New inflation data in the eurozone may lead to a historic change in the Central Bank's policy. Here is how the emerging move will affect Israeli investors and the local currency exchange rate.

Families are giving up meat and medical treatments, gas stations are closing, and the regime fears that the distress will reignite mass protests. At the same time, the United States is launching new sanctions designed to dry up Tehran's sources of income.

Major indices on Wall Street are retreating amid concerns over inflation, as most leading technology companies record price declines, except for one giant that has introduced a new CEO.

Ongoing disinflation and the strength of the shekel, despite a sharp rise in fuel prices, have led the Monetary Committee to decide on a further reduction in the base interest rate.

Professor Amir Yaron explained the Bank of Israel's decision to lower the interest rate to 3.25%, noting it was made despite expected inflation growth. Regarding real estate, he added: "I would like to see contractors continue to lower prices." He emphasized that political pressure does not affect him: "The walls of the monetary committee room are very thick."

The market assigns a probability of about 50% to an imminent cut, but an in-depth analysis of the global economy reveals why the Bank of Israel may wait and presents a surprising forecast for the dollar exchange rate.

The foreign exchange market shows a mixed trend as investors await the Bank of Israel's interest rate decision. Bank Hapoalim analysts warn that the window of opportunity for a rate cut may soon close.

Trading in the US closed in a negative trend led by the Dow Jones, as the price of a barrel of Brent crude oil crossed a critical threshold and US bond yields climbed to their highest level in months.

Or Poriya, Chairman of Poriya Finance, points to the combination of geopolitical tension, pressure in the bond market, and expected interest rate decisions, warning: despite optimism in the AI sector, market volatility is expected to rise sharply.

The foreign exchange market is opening the week with a slight rise in the shekel against the dollar ahead of the Bank of Israel's interest rate decision. The dollar is down 0.2%, trading around 2.99 shekels.

The moderation of inflation and changes in the local labor market increase the probability of a significant step on Tuesday, while in the US a completely opposite trend is being recorded. Analysts at Leader Capital Markets provide their analysis.

The decline in inflation and the strong shekel support a third consecutive reduction the day after tomorrow. On the other hand, the increase in government spending and security uncertainty raise concerns that prices will start rising again, so the Bank of Israel may leave the interest rate unchanged at 3.5%.

The Financial Times reveals that several economic organizations of the Iranian government continue to operate freely in a country that has been attacked by the Islamic Republic. Citizens in Iran are furious over the fuel price hike: "The only thing that doesn't go up is our salary."

Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole marked a shift in Fed policy: moving away from excessive market signaling and returning to full accountability for inflation without external excuses.

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh delivered his first speech at the Jackson Hole conference. He emphasized that price stability remains the primary focus and that the 2% inflation target is firm and fixed.

Three Federal Reserve officials expressed ongoing concern today about the state of inflation in the US, as the annual Kansas City Fed economic symposium opened in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. They emphasized the need for action to return inflation to the 2% target.

After its buy recommendation was downgraded and against the backdrop of a weak forecast from one of its key partners, the well-known sports brand's stock has already lost about 40% of its value since the beginning of the current year and continues to worry investors.

Pastry chains have raised the prices of honey cakes, which are especially associated with Rosh Hashanah, by 4% to 15% compared to previous Tishrei holidays. Chain owners explain that the price increases are due to rising costs of raw materials, production, operations, and labor, while others claim that the cakes that have increased in price are not at all identical to last year's cakes. And also...

The moderation of inflation and the weakening of the US labor market are lowering the probability of a rate hike there in September. However, investors are still concerned and are pricing in the risk in long-term bonds. Now also in podcast version.

A trend reversal in the foreign exchange market: after yesterday's strengthening of the shekel, the dollar is rising by 0.3%, trading above 2.97 shekels.

The rise in US bond yields is worrying investors, but UBS bank presents a positive outlook for stocks and identifies the safest investment channels for the near term.

A new macroeconomic review reveals an unusual gap between the current interest rate and the state of the economy, indicating that at least two rate cuts are expected in the coming year, contrary to market estimates.

When Horizon Investment House CEO Itay Lipkovich looks at the drama in US bond yields, he sees an opportunity: "When the Treasury intervenes in the market, stocks rise." Why is he looking for bargains specifically in the bond companies the market fears? And also: the tech giant he is convinced will surprise in a big way.

Following the US plan for the financial isolation of Iran, currency markets show minimal movement. The dollar is trading at 3.00 shekels as investors await the Bank of Israel's interest rate decision.

Deutsche Bank economists warn of a dangerous combination of a jump in bond yields to 5.3%, high oil prices, and uncertainty surrounding new sanctions, which threatens risk assets and inflation.

The dollar exchange rate in Iran has neared the two million rials mark, signaling a severe devaluation of the national currency. This trend is destabilizing the economy, forcing businesses and households to adapt to rising costs.

The foreign exchange market remains calm ahead of the Bank of Israel's interest rate decision and the Jackson Hole symposium. The dollar is trading above 2.98 shekels, while the euro is slightly below 3.49 shekels.

The Bank of Israel is preparing for a fateful decision in the shadow of surprising data from the labor market and inflation, as senior economists now estimate the real chance of a revolution in the interest rate in the coming days.

The bank's chief strategist analyzes market turmoil and explains why rising energy prices and US policy decisions may prevent the Bank of Israel from cutting rates.

For nearly two decades, developed nations have grown accustomed to markets ignoring rising sovereign debt. However, a recent sharp sell-off in long-term government bonds suggests this era of complacency may be ending.