A new and disturbing threat facing Israel: the real goal of Bin Salman and Saudi Arabia

An investigation published in the British 'Telegraph' deals with one of the central goals of the Islamic defense alliance, of which Saudi Arabia is a key member.

MaarivAuthor: Eli Leon
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A new and disturbing threat facing Israel: the real goal of Bin Salman and Saudi Arabia
Photo: Maariv / היורש הסעודי בן סלמאן | צילום: רויטרס

According to an extensive investigation published in the British 'Telegraph', the new tripartite security alliance between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan is not just an attempt to curb Iranian aggression, but also a calculated effort to balance Israel's power in the day after American hegemony.

The recent disagreements between US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu only increase concerns in the Arab world regarding future uncertainty and accelerate the establishment of regional alliances that do not rely on Jerusalem. If in the past it seemed that the Abraham Accords were the exclusive entry ticket for Arab countries into Washington's warm embrace, the new Sunni alliance marks a completely alternative path to power and security.

A clear message to Tehran: "All for one"

The new security alliance signed between Riyadh, Ankara, and Islamabad is based on the familiar principle of "all for one, one for all." The agreement effectively reflects the famous Article 5 of the NATO treaty, which states that an attack on one member will be considered an attack on all and will trigger a unified response. The Sunni countries are taking matters into their own hands with the goal of reshaping regional security, relying on complementary strengths: Saudi Arabia's vast oil wealth, Turkey's military and technological power, and Pakistan's proven nuclear capabilities.

To give the agreement deep religious significance, the leaders — Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif — chose to sign it in Mecca. Yasmeen Farouk, a senior fellow at the International Crisis Group, explains that the choice of Mecca was intended to send an unequivocal message: "This alliance is sacred."

Defense or escalation: upgrading regional deterrence

Although all three members of the alliance insist that the agreement is not directed against any specific country, it is clear to all that it is intended to place a bright warning sign before Iran. "The agreement is defensive in nature," declared Pakistani Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan reinforced these points and emphasized that any country that does not attack them is not considered a target.

However, geography speaks for itself. The three countries surround the Islamic Republic, which is perceived as the villain pulling the strings behind the scenes. Iran has activated its many proxies, including the Houthi rebels in Yemen, to threaten and repeatedly attack Saudi Arabia. The tripartite deal is intended to tell Tehran in the clearest way: "If you continue, we also have options."

Frustration with the US

The establishment of the alliance reflects, first and foremost, growing regional frustration with the eroding security guarantees of the United States. "Everyone is now going through a thought process on how to shape the outcomes of the current war, considering that the United States is expected to change its posture in the region," notes Farouk. According to her, the main problem is that the Gulf states do not have enough influence on decision-making in Washington.

Other countries in the region are invited to join, with Egypt marked as the most natural candidate. However, Western estimates suggest that Egypt's common border and sensitive relations with Israel are complicating factors that delay its accession. Joseph Rosen, a geopolitical strategist from the Misgav Institute for National Security, clarifies that all three member countries remain central allies of the United States and are not expected to jeopardize this relationship by directly threatening Israel.

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