Polls Show Eisenkot Leading Likud as Israeli Blocs Remain Deadlocked

With ten days until the elections, new polls show Gadi Eisenkot leading Likud, while Netanyahu and opposition blocs remain deadlocked at around 51 seats each.

Source:Maariv
Polls Show Eisenkot Leading Likud as Israeli Blocs Remain Deadlocked
Photo: דוברות מפלגת ישר / יח״צ (Yashar Party Spokesperson)

With ten days remaining until the upcoming Knesset elections, the latest four polls paint a nearly identical picture: Gadi Eisenkot and his Yashar! party are leading the Likud across all surveys, yet neither political bloc is approaching the coveted 61-seat majority. The poll average places the Zionist opposition at 51.25 mandates compared to 51 for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc, creating an almost complete tie that positions Arab parties and borderline factions near the electoral threshold as kingmakers.

Maariv Poll: Winter Falls Short, Eisenkot Leads

According to the Maariv poll, Arab parties have strengthened by one mandate each, reaching a combined total of 14 seats. Conversely, Likud dropped by two mandates to just 18. Despite Likud's decline, the coalition bloc lost only a single seat, dropping to 51 due to United Torah Judaism rising to 8 seats and Amcha Yisrael successfully crossing the electoral threshold with 4 mandates. Meanwhile, Yisrael Beytenu's drop to 8 seats brought the Zionist opposition bloc down to 51 as well, resulting in a dead heat.

Channel 13 Poll: Netanyahu Bloc Loses Four Seats

Channel 13's mandate poll awards Netanyahu's bloc only 51 seats, down from 55 in the previous survey. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party weakens by two seats to 18, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar! maintains its lead with 20 mandates. Eisenkot's bloc remains unchanged at 50 seats, while Arab parties secure 15 mandates collectively.

Kan News: Block Breakdown Favors Netanyahu

A poll published by Kan 11 shows Yashar! leading Likud, yet the block distribution grants an advantage to Netanyahu. At the bottom of the electoral threshold are Ofer Winter's Amcha Yisrael and the joint list of Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelecha, both securing four mandates. Overall, Netanyahu's bloc claims 53 seats against Eisenkot's 50, a three-seat advantage for the incumbent.

Channel 12 Poll: Eisenkot Ahead, Amcha Yisrael Stays Out

Channel 12 positions Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar! at the top with 23 seats, ahead of Likud's 20. Ofer Winter's Amcha Yisrael remains below the threshold with 1.8%. The bloc map remains stable, granting 54 seats to the opposition, 49 to the coalition, and 13 to Arab parties, alongside 4 seats for Hendel and Zelecha.

Poll Average: Eisenkot Leads, Blocks Tied

The average of all four polls depicts a symmetric landscape: the opposition stands at an average of 51.25 mandates versus 51 for Netanyahu's bloc. When factoring in Arab parties and smaller factions, the political dynamics remain razor-thin as the final week of campaigning unfolds.

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