Israel Election Polls Show Yashar! Leading as Blocs Remain Deadlocked
Five new polls following the Knesset list closure show Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar! leading in most surveys, while Likud tops one. Bloc totals remain deadlocked ahead of the October 2026 vote.
Israel Election Polls: Yashar Leads, Blocs Remain Tied Ahead of 2026 Vote
Following the finalization of party lists for the 26th Knesset elections, five new polls reveal a deeply fractured political landscape in Israel. In four of the surveys, the Yashar! party led by Гади Айзенкот (Gadi Eisenkot) emerges as the largest faction, while an i24NEWS poll places the «Ликуд» (Likud) party in first place by a significant margin. Meanwhile, Ofer Winter clears the electoral threshold in all five polls, whereas Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelecha cross it only in the Kan News survey.
Mixed Results Across Major Networks
The bloc breakdown shows no clear winner, with two polls indicating a complete tie while others maintain a slight advantage for the Zionist opposition block—with the exception of the i24NEWS survey, which shows a substantial strengthening of the Биньямин Нетаниягу (Benjamin Netanyahu) block.
According to the i24NEWS and Direct Polls survey, Likud leads with 27 mandates, followed by Yashar! with 22. The «Бе-яхад» (Be-Yachad) list led by Нафтали Беннет (Naftali Bennett) drops to 10 mandates, «Демократы» (The Democrats) secure 9, and United Torah Judaism and «Оцма Йегудит» (Otzma Yehudit) take 8 each.
Tight Margins and Bloc Projections
In stark contrast, Channel 13’s poll shows Eisenkot leading with 22 mandates, while Likud drops to 19. Bennett receives 13 mandates, ШАС (Shas) gets 7, and Winter takes 4. The bloc distribution here reflects an exact 53-53 tie between the Netanyahu-led coalition and the Zionist opposition, with Arab parties holding the remaining 14 mandates.
Kan News presents a similar tie, putting Yashar! at 24 mandates and Likud at 21, with Bennett's Be-Yachad at 12. Channel 12 and Maariv polls similarly position Eisenkot in the lead with 25 mandates, keeping the overall political map deadlocked as the campaign progresses toward October 27, 2026.
