Mandate poll: Eisenkot leads - Ofer Winter passes the electoral threshold under one condition
According to the Kan News poll, Eisenkot overtakes Likud with 24 mandates, and Netanyahu loses in the suitability for prime minister question to Bennett as well. A new scenario brings Winter into the Knesset and leaves Smotrich below the electoral threshold.
The poll published this evening (Sunday) on Kan News shows an advantage for Gadi Eisenkot over Benjamin Netanyahu in the mandate map. The "Yashar!" party led by Eisenkot receives 24 mandates, compared to 22 mandates for Likud. According to the poll, Netanyahu also loses in the question of suitability for prime minister against the two candidates tested - Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett. According to the data, this is the first time that Netanyahu also loses to Bennett in the question of suitability for prime minister.
According to the mandate map: "Yashar!" receives 24 mandates, Likud 22, "Behad" 14, The Democrats 10, Otzma Yehudit 9, Yisrael Beiteinu 9, United Torah Judaism 8, Shas 7, Hadash-Ta'al and Balad 7, Religious Zionism 5, and Ra'am 5 mandates.
In a scenario where Ofer Winter runs together with Netaeli Shem-Tov, Yoseph Haddad, and Lali Deri, his party passes the electoral threshold and receives 5 mandates. In this scenario, Religious Zionism led by Bezalel Smotrich remains below the electoral threshold. The poll also shows that the party of Chili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel, the party of Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein, Benny Gantz's Blue and White with Dedi Simhi, as well as Winter's party in a scenario where the list members were not announced, do not pass the electoral threshold.
