New Poll Shows Coalition Gains to 50 Seats as Likud Drops to 19 Mandates
A new Maariv poll shows the coalition bloc rising to 50 mandates as Am Yisrael crosses the threshold, while Likud drops to 19 seats. Opposition leaders maintain strong leads over Benjamin Netanyahu.
Poll Shows Coalition Gains as Am Yisrael Crosses Electoral Threshold
Following the final submission of candidate lists for the upcoming Knesset elections, the coalition bloc has grown by 3 mandates to reach a total of 50 seats. This shift comes as the Am Yisrael party successfully crosses the electoral threshold, according to a new Maariv poll conducted by Lazar Research in collaboration with Panel4ALL.
Despite the coalition's overall gain, the ruling «Ликуд» party dropped by one mandate to just 19 seats—its lowest figure since May 29, 2025. The survey also highlights shifting fortunes among smaller factions: while Am Yisrael cleared the threshold this week, other hopefuls such as the Reservists and Economy party led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelecha failed to secure enough votes.
Mandate Distribution and Electoral Dynamics
The Zionist opposition parties currently hold 58 mandates, while the Arab parties account for 12 seats. Notably, the proportion of undecided voters dropped significantly following the closure of the lists, falling from 11% down to 7.5%.
When asked how they would vote if elections were held today, respondents distributed their support as follows:
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«Яшар!»: 25 mandates
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«Ликуд»: 19 mandates
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«Бе-яхад»: 14 mandates
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«Демократы»: 10 mandates
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«Наш дом Израиль»: 9 mandates
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«Оцма Йегудит»: 8 mandates
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«Яхадут ха-Тора»: 7 mandates
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ШАС: 7 mandates
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Joint Arab List: 7 mandates
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РААМ: 5 mandates
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«Религиозный сионизм»: 5 mandates
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Am Yisrael: 4 mandates
Parties falling below the electoral threshold include the Reservists and Economy party (3%), Blue and White (1.3%), Noam LeYisrael (0.7%), and the Haredi Public faction (0.4%).
Leadership Preferences and Emigration Sentiments
In the race for prime ministerial suitability, Гади Айзенкот maintains a double-digit lead over Биньямин Нетаниягу, with 50% of respondents viewing him as fit for the role compared to 38% for Нетаниягу. Similarly, Нафтали Беннет leads Нетаниягу in a head-to-head match-up, polling at 45% against 40%.
"An overwhelming majority of 79% state that they will remain in the country even if the party they vote for does not join the government after the elections," the poll notes, while 9% are considering leaving and 12% remain undecided.
The poll was conducted on September 9–10, surveying a representative sample of 601 respondents out of 4,329 contacted individuals, with a maximum sampling error of 4%.
